Robin Hanson on Prediction Markets, Gambling, and the Future of Forecasting
The a16z Show
- Published
- May 26, 2026
- Duration
- 27:55
- Summary source
- description
- Last updated
- Jun 24, 2026
Discusses Theo Jaffee and Sophia Puccini speak with economist Robin Hanson about prediction markets, gambling,…
Summary
Theo Jaffee and Sophia Puccini speak with economist Robin Hanson about prediction markets, gambling, and why he believes speculative markets are one of the most powerful tools humans have for aggregating information and forecasting outcomes. The conversation begins with Minnesota’s recent law criminalizing prediction markets before expanding into the broa…
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Show notes
Theo Jaffee and Sophia Puccini speak with economist Robin Hanson about prediction markets, gambling, and why he believes speculative markets are one of the most powerful tools humans have for aggregating information and forecasting outcomes. The conversation begins with Minnesota’s recent law criminalizing prediction markets before expanding into the broader backlash surrounding platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket. Hanson explains his long-term vision for “decision markets,” where markets could